One way you can know that support for a movement is starting to fracture is when you read stories like this in the prestige press: https://www.newyorker.com/news/essay
Admittedly, you’ll have to read very carefully between the lines (and ignore the Western talking points) to see that some people in the commentariat are starting to unfurl the white flag of surrender.
Another indicator is when critical stories can no longer be buried. What story am I speaking of? The fact that there is (and has been) a strong neo-Nazi element in the Ukrainian Army and body politic. https://sonar21.com/will-americans-supporting-ukraine
Almost a year ago, Monomakhos warned our readers that this was the case but our critics didn’t want to believe it. It couldn’t be true because “Zelensky is a Jew”.
This was supposed to shut down all criticism of the Kievan regime, to sweep it under the rug as it were. For the most part it worked. However, no matter how often you sweep trash under the rug, it never goes away. If nothing else, the smell starts to concentrate and then sift out.
And now, the smell of Ukrainian neo-Nazism is starting to make itself known here. It’s not a pleasant smell as you can tell from the short video below:
I don’t mean to be cynical, as I’ve always believed that virtue is it’s own reward. The virtue in this case being the truth and that it came out. So I’m glad that it did so. Would that it had come out earlier, perhaps saving hundreds of thousands of lives.
However, I can’t help but be somewhat cynical. Why are these stories coming out now? It’s not like the racialist ideology behind Pravy Sektor, Svoboda and the Azov Battalions was some great secret. Like the fictitious “church” that Patriarch Bartholomew created for the Western puppets that overthrew the democratically elected Ukrainian government in 2014, it was right out there for all to see.
The video above was produced in 2019 by Time magazine. The Russo-Ukraine War would not take place for another three years.
So, again, why now?
Is it because the much-vaunted Spring (then Summer) Offensive by the Ukrainian Army is going nowhere? Or that an estimated 40,000 Ukrainian soldiers since June have been senselessly impaled against the Russian defenses? Or that Oleksey Reznikov, the Ukrainian defense minister, was sacked? Or maybe because Kiev is in the process of enacting a general mobilization and is asking Western governments to repatriate hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian young men in order to make this possible?
Hard to tell.
And just what’s up with the arrest of Ihor Komoloisky, the Ukrainian oligarch who created the television show Servant of the People, the show that catapulted a little-known Jewish comic named Vladimir Zelensky to national attention in the first place?
Regardless, the handwriting is on the wall. And like the Order of Chaos by Leo Tanguma where you see a military figure resembling a German SS soldier wearing a gas mask with a machine gun in one hand and a sword stabbing a dove in the other, it’s beyond disturbing. Certainly not something anyone expected to see in real life but they’re way ahead of us, and we’ve been slow to wake up to the nightmare. 
Charap, in the New Yorker article, still doesn’t get it. But George is right that it’s an indication that surrender is becoming more palatable to a growing cadre.
Russia is not at all interested in negotiating on any terms that would be acceptable to Washington. This will not end in negotiation. Russia will continue to defend its territorial gains and probably expand them. It will continue fighting until it is no longer being engaged – period. When Ukraine/NATO quits resisting, it will end. If they don’t, they will be bled dry.
There is no mystery as to how this will turn out.
I believe Russia intends that not only must the West
be defeated but that it must be seen to be so defeated.
Otherwise it will start heating the pot again.
The one thing we have going for us is a lot of people don’t want to be on this crazy train. We are as disgusted with the cabal as Russia is.
“…the handwriting is on the wall.”
Hubris:
Challenger 2: The UK tank that’s never been destroyed by the enemy
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cjaY6UVc_tw
[Video – 02:00]
Nemesis:
Russian forces ‘blow up British Challenger 2 tank’ in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FcKpC6d6OmM
[Video – 01:05]
Katharsis:
I understand the crew survived.
‘Shaken, but not stirred’ – perhaps…?
I’ve seen multiple waves of ‘Western support for Ukraine is cracking’ attempts at narrative building over the course of the war. I find it often corresponds with times Ukraine is making life very difficult for Russian occupying forces. Russia didn’t just hastily redeploy VDV divisions out of the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kremina axis down to Bakhmut and the Zaporizhzhya for chuckles.
Three months into the current counteroffensive campaign, there are a couple long-form reads out this week that I recommend. Especially if you’re tired of the fantasies of the English speaking pro-Russian camp and want an actual understanding of Ukrainian operations, and a look at their shortcomings and areas of struggle that is actually objective and based in reality:
https://warontherocks.com/2023/09/perseverance-and-adaptation-ukraines-counteroffensive-at-three-months/
https://rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/special-resources/stormbreak-fighting-through-russian-defences-ukraines-2023-offensive
Two things can simultaneously be true: first, the West could and should have provided far more heavy weaponry to Ukraine than it actually has to date, and second, Western support is belatedly ramping up for the long game. In general, when evaluating what I think the war looks like in 2024 and into 2025, I see Europe finally getting around to things it should have done a year ago, for example: https://www.euractiv.com/section/defence-and-security/news/eu-defence-agency-signs-first-joint-procurement-ammunition-deals-for-ukraine/
Russia going hat in hand to North Korea for munitions may be one of those short-term solution moves that ends up counterproductive in the long run. South Korea makes a lot of different long range strike systems that could be sold to Ukraine.
Also on the long-term front, I’m not sure folks have fully digested the strategic implications of Ukraine’s creeping capability escalation both in terms of domestic and externally supplied systems.
Tens of thousands of killed and wounded to get 10 square kilometers in 3 months that’s not even at the first part of the Surovikan Line isn’t a success. Besides the Russians being close to running out of munitions is what we’ve heard over and over again for more than a year. Still hasn’t happened.
Thank you, Nate, for providing those links. I will look into them. As for who is winning the war, I look to the commentaries of Col MacGregor, Maj Matthew Hoh, Lt Col Tony Shaffer and others. All of these men are retired veterans but have active contacts within the Pentagon.
These men paint a different picture from the 24/7 Happy Talk that we receive from the Corporate Media.
I happen to think that their contacts aren’t of the Happy Talking Cultural Warrior variety.
Do scroll down to the “Euractive AI” ad just beyond the end of Nate’s second link to learn how you too can profit from the decisions of EU policy makers.
Follow the money.
Just to save some time for those interested, here is the conclusion of one of these long reads:
Translated into: unless the euroatlanticists INCREASE aid just to the point of direct intervention and dig in for the very long term, Ukraine can’t win.
Hardly an optimistic prognosis, especially given looming elections in the US with the very real chance of a senile president getting run into the ground in his second term (should his handlers manage to succeed at getting him in), plus the EU having to endure another winter with very expensive energy, and many other geopolitical factors.
One can do as many mental gymnastics as possible, but Ukraine is doomed over its looming infantry shortfall. Russia has 3x the mobilizational resources of Ukraine. Full stop. Russian technology may be cruder than that of NATO, but as with WWII, it can be cranked out in quantity faster. Russia is no Iraq.
The unavoidable reality is Ukraine’s only chance of ‘winning’ is direct, concerted military intervention by the NATO coalition, with the use of nuclear arsenal. I’d hardly call that a win given the high cost of human capital and the resulting ecological fallout, and it’s far from certain that it will get broader buy in outside a small group of devoted hawks like the author of the wishful thinking long read, who is “a senior fellow in the Russia and Eurasia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, where he focuses on the Russian military and Eurasian security issues.” – in other words a consultant paid to give false hope.
The only other big gamble remains “fomenting unrest within Russia”, which has proven to be the only way to militarily defeat Russia: a repeat of the WWI scenario. The best part is that the Russian population itself is not interested in that, as the Prigozhin coop demonstrated. The few jack in the boxes that emerged during that period ended up putting their foot into their mouth real fast and heading for the Georgian border.
One of the biggest problems is the euroatlanticists have got it into their heads that they are on top of the food chain. Like an anaconda, when attacked they become rather clueless as they never expect it. Yet here we are. Someone stood up to them.
I don’t see a “strategic defeat” as alleged by the US government. Whatever the plausible outcome at this point, the Russians will hold on to the five oblasts (including the Crimea). Thus, unless Ukraine renounces its sovereignty over this territory, it cannot join NATO, much the same as the frozen conflict in Georgia prevents it. This is a strategic victory, not a defeat. As is the incorporation of new territory into the RF itself populated by ethnic Russians.
As to Western “potential” regarding military industrial production, frankly, the writer of the article is misleading. Present capacities clearly indicate that Russia can outproduce the entire West. Could the US ramp up? Certainly. So could the Russians. Moreover, if it became necessary, Russia could import surplus weapons from China. The combined potential of Russia and China in military industrial production far exceeds that of the West.
Nate, let’s check back in 6 months to see just how effective Ukraine’s ‘creeping capabilities’ will be. You can wish them a success along with the euroatlantic elites, they do need some mighty hearty cheerleading these days.
But one thing is beyond certainty: nobody has ever won a war without infantry. Ukraine is running out of it, Russia is not. At the end of the day, that says more than all the fancy packages our tax payer dollars are sending to Zelensky.
Ukraine isn’t really facing any serious manpower constraints in the near to mid term, especially not in the next six months. The limiting factor likely to cause culmination of the current campaign is munitions supply versus the rate of use in offensive operations. I’ve seen some analysists I respect posit that Ukraine probably would already have culminated if the US hadn’t provided DPICM. Ukraine likely isn’t going to have near enough of a mechanized force to capitalize on recent advances and make a deep breakthrough in the next couple months. That said, I do expect them to hold, secure, slightly expand and continue inflicting heavy losses before the current intensity dies down.
Belief that Ukraine is facing a critical infantry shortage and on the verge of catastrophic collapse is borne of repeated gross overestimations of Ukrainian men and material losses and underestimation of Russian. Both sides can stay in the war and are going to do so. Back in December I expressed skepticism the war would end before 2025 at the earliest. The last nine months haven’t caused me to change that assessment.
We probably won’t agree on casualty estimations, but the fact that Zelensky is already seriously talking about a widening mobilization campaign that includes women and reaches higher in age is already a big warning sign.
Ukraine is a victim to the American war mentality: in the post eastern bloc period, Americans are used to fighting wars where they have significant superiority. This was not the case during the cold war where the forces were considerably more balanced, and thus strategy was different. And that’s not the case now with Russia, either. One sure way to lose a war is failing to readjust to the realities on the ground.
Since Washington banked on Russian internal instability and a morale crisis, both of which failed miserably thusfar, the situation speaks for itself. The usual American answer to this is to throw more technology and money at the problem.
The US could not prevail in many theaters where they had superiority of technology, including Afghanistan. Some of the Afghans were still fighting with bolt action Lee Enfields of UK vintage (now of course they upgraded to M-4s, thanks to Tony Saigon Blinken). It’s been proven over and over again.
Ukraine’s population is 1/3rd of Russia’s. And those numbers are declining not just due to casualties but due to people fleeing from mobilization. And this gets to the core of the Ukrainian problem on many levels: the whole “European aspiration” of Ukraine has mostly to do with the magic word “Shengen”, which means emigrating from Ukraine. That is the real European dream of the pro-EU Ukrainians. If you speak to them casually you will learn that many of them are not interested in processes of internal reform, as they don’t believe in such a possibility. They’d rather show up to a country where they can plug into the system and exist, like the many migrants lining up at the Mexican-US border.
That constitutes a major morale problem in the long run. The die hard Azov types live for violence, the battle field is where they define themselves. But for many others, it’s quite a different story.
At the moment, euroatlanticist propaganda is making the rank and file Ukrainian believe this is a battle for ‘democracy’. But when you keep seeing your mates return in coffins or with missing limbs, while your elites are hiding in European chatels hosting Skype conferences on ‘Ukraine’s reconstruction’ with western banks, it starts to look rather dim.
As time goes on, more and more Ukrainians are seeing their victory in successful emigration from Ukraine, to a country where there is some Ukrainian diaspora that gives them a link to home. I don’t really call that patriotism.
Meanwhile on the Russian side, public opinion continues to strongly back the war and people are regularly volunteering to fight. That even includes previous Putin haters. They are well aware that Russia can’t afford to lose this one, and most of them are not naive enough to believe that any normative relations can be established with the current euroatlantic elites – especially if Russia steps back.
So let’s revisit this in 2025. It took Franco 3 years to win in Spain, a considerably smaller country. Currently we’re still at 1.5 years…
This exchange involving Paul Craig Roberts is quite good. He actually provides a prescription for what ails America both internationally and domestically. He is also frank that the political dynamic in the US would prevent his remedy.
Admittedly, the US is by far the wealthiest economy on earth. Of this there can be no doubt. However, with an astronomical national debt of $32 trillion (with no end in sight), a non-existent border which has been flooded by several million immigrants (with no hope of assimilation) and inner cities that are approaching Calcutta-style levels of poverty, I worry about OUR future.
I believe we are on the knife-edge, which can go either way. If Trump comes back into power, then we have a chance to reverse this rottenness. If not, I can easily see America fracturing, not unlike what happened to the Byzantine Empire after the Battle of Manzikert. Even the Greek-speaking Christians in Anatolia switched allegiance to the Seljuk Turks. (The Arab Christians had made side-deals long before, mainly because of the anti-Arab ethno-religious policies perpetrated against them by the Byzantine court.)
As to our present situation, we are seeing individual governors rebelling against Federal policies. Even private institutions like Harvard, are refusing to adhere to the recent Supreme Court ruling against them in regards to Affirmative Action.
This is death by a thousand cuts. Look for more.
Black Nazis! A Study Of Racial Ambivalence In Nazi Germany’s Military Establishment: Non German Ethnic Minority And Foreign Volunteers, Conscripts, Laborers And Po Ws, 1940 1945 by V.K. Clark | Goodreads
Veronica Kuzniar Clark (Veronica K. Clark/V.K. Clark) specializes in World War II and military history. She earned her M.A. in history with honors in 2009 and she completed one year of doctoral studies in Organizational Psychology with a 4.00 GPA in 2010. She is the creator of the ‘Warwolves of the Iron Cross’ series as well as the ‘Powerwolf Publications’ series and the cult classic, “Black Nazis”.
Apparently during WWII Jews fought BOTH for Hitler’s 卐 Nazis and Stalin’s ☭ Communists.
Assuming the claim that Jews, Blacks, and Asians fought for Hitler is correct:
(1) How many of the Jews who fought for Hitler knew what was going on at the concentration camps?
(2) How many participated and why?
In 2023 how many supporters of the far right and the far left are aware of the following?
150,000 Soldiers of the German Army Were Actually Jewish | by Andrei Tapalaga ✒️ | History of Yesterday
https://historyofyesterday.com/150000-soldiers-of-the-german-army-were-actually-jewish/
Short List of Jews in Hitler’s Military – Wikipedia
(1) Walter Hollaender, colonel, [3] (15 October 1903 – 8 August 1974) was a highly decorated Oberst in the Wehrmacht during World War II. He was also a recipient of the Knight’s Cross of the Iron Cross. The Knight’s Cross of the Iron Cross was awarded to recognise extreme battlefield bravery or successful military leadership. Walter Hollaender was a half-Jewish (Mischling) officer who received a German Blood Certificate.
(2) Bernhard Rogge, admiral, Jewish ancestry[3]
(3) Hans Eppinger, Austrian, SS doctor, half-Jewish[3]
(4) Emil Maurice,[9] German Nazi, Jewish great-grandfather
(5) Erhard Milch, German, Wehrmacht Generalfeldmarschall, Jewish father (reclassified as Aryan by Adolf Hitler)
(6) Werner Goldberg, German, foot soldier, half-Jewish
(7) Alexander Löhr, Generaloberst in the Luftwaffe, mother with Jewish-Ukrainian roots
(8) Helmuth Wilberg, German, Luftwaffe general, Jewish mother.
Note: Many Jews who fought for Hitler were high ranking officers in the military
I have heard that even Hitler was part Jewish.
RE: “(1) How many of the Jews who fought for Hitler knew what was going on at the concentration camps? (2) How many participated and why?”
As a race, it is interesting to see why certain peoples (plural) do certain things, but individual people, less so, because across the board, people do stupid things for stupid reasons and still do.
I graduated in the mid-70s with a science degree in social psychology. I was taught by one of the best, Dr. Robert Cialdini, whose name may ring a bell. As students, we were strongly encouraged to participate in psychology experiments. One particular study, however, caused such a stir, universities were left debating if experiments using students should even be done: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1hUjyzP08uQ
This is also of note: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xOYLCy5PVgM
These studies go a long way to answer the question “why” and it’s not because of race.
True story, there was a Ukrainian Jewish soldier who fought for the USSR during WWII. His name was Simyon Hitler.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RDB_S25baQE
You can’t make this stuff up.
As far as African-Americans were concerned, W E B DuBois, the famous black intellectual, went to Nazi Germany in 1935 and was given the red carpet treatment. He was so impressed by national socialism that he wrote in his diary that this socio-economic system was “necessary for the American Negro”.
Interestingly enough, according to the Nuremberg Laws (which set the parameters regarding racial purity), if a German had two Jewish grandparents (i.e. was half-Jewish) he could still be considered an Aryan. What tipped him over the edge was that if he had three Jewish grandparents at the very least.
As far as inclusion in the SS was concerned, all one had to do was prove 100% Aryan ancestry from 1750 onwards. That meant that you could have had scads of Jewish ancestors prior to that date.
Contrast this with the “One-drop Rule” in America, where just the possibility of one black great=great-grandparent made you “colored”. An octaroon for example was a person who had one black great-grandparent (a quadroon was one who had one black grandparent and of course a mulatto was one who had one black parent).
But here’s where it gets tricky: any one of those black ancestors may have only had marginal ancestry themselves but they were considered to be black regardless. In other words, “Grandma Sophie” may have been a quadroon but because she couldn’t “pass” for white, was considered black. So instead of a person being a quadroon, he was actually only 1/16th black.
‘ W E B DuBois, the famous black intellectual…was so impressed
by national socialism that he wrote in his diary that this
socio-economic system was “necessary for the American Negro”. ‘
Few are as foolish as intellectual fools…
More bad news for the Zelensky regime: the Poles just said that they weren’t going to give any more arms to them.
Ouch, that’s gotta hurt. Especially since the Poles are the most anti-Russian nation in Europe.
George, I’m betting quite heavily that El Presidente Zelensky (and his cronies) already have their escape plans well thought out. Money has been laundered, and people bribed…it’s only a matter of time.
Yeah, St Zelensky has a mansion in Miami, a villa in Tuscany and he just bought his mother-in-law an apartment in Egypt.
His problem? If it looks like he’s going to bug out, then the Ukronazis who “protect” him will have other ideas.
Unless those ‘protecting’ him are part of his escape plan. Luggage and bags full of cash will do wonders for altering or changing people’s minds 😉
It just now occurred to me that this is the date in which the world turned against Zelensky. What Poland did was a “stab in the back”. I believe –really, am convinced–that the Poles and the Russians worked out an arrangement vis-a-vis Galicia.
If I am right, then keep your eye on Romania and Hungary. They’re going to want a piece of the Ukrainian pie.
It was worse than I thought: PM Duda of Poland said that the Ukraine was like a “drowning man” who was “dragging down” those who tried to save him.
That sound you hear is the fat lady warming up.
Poland was the only nation that might have sent troops en masse into the Ukraine as a second American proxy. No other country wanted any piece of this. But the Poles have an election coming up and the Polish public wants no piece of this disaster either.
That’s it for NATO solidarity.
Z’s expression during Biden’s address at the UN indicates to me that he understands he is being thrown under the bus. He was not allowed to address Congress. I still suggest that eventually the Ukrainians will turn against their Western masters much as the Chechens did. They have much greater reason than the Chechens.
America is moving toward attempting to freeze the conflict. Russia has not gotten the memo. They don’t trust the US and will likely press on with the SMO even if the US calls for a cease fire. The current US strategy seems to be to project the notion that Ukrainian diplomacy has turned toward a negotiated settlement, despite Z’s protests to the contrary. A series of messages were sent to Z during the past few days that his stock is dropping precipitously.
But he has to deal with the Banderistas. He might flee in short order. Or he may try to purge the Banderistas. God alone knows. But as long as he sends Ukrainians into the Russian meatgrinder, they will be killed. The question is what happens when Ukraine ceases to attack. To what degree is Russia prepared to take casualties for further territorial advances?
If you look back at what I wrote shortly before the war, you will find that I thought that Russia, if it invaded, would only go as far as the Donbass and Novorossiya (along the southern coast). And that is precisely what they have done so far. However, I don’t know how far they intend to take it from here given all that has transpired. If they continue, the logical thing to do would be to press toward Transnistria in the south and complete their occupation of the five annexed provinces. Beyond that, they might press towards the Dnieper, or not.
Just being on territory claimed by Ukraine is an invitation to Ukrainian forces to continue to try to displace them in quixotic offensives. And the Russian presence, whether the Ukrainians engage or not, may be enough to bring down the Ukrainian state due to the demographic and infrastructural consequences of the war and internal political conflict.
My guess is that the Russians, not pressed for time at all, will continue the slow grind until the Kievan regime collapses under its own weight. However, domestic opinion inside Russia may press the government to engage in big arrow offensives once the Ukrainian forces have been sufficiently degraded.
The former is more likely but the latter cannot be ruled out. Putin declared that denazification and demilitarization were objectives. The latter has largely been accomplished and could be completely achieved without additional large territorial gains. However, denazification, IMO, would require occupation of the whole country if he were serious about it – either that or it could be done by a puppet regime after the collapse.